Saturday, May 11, 2013
What to do (3)
Following on from last Tuesday's post - if you're going to use X (or any other letter or symbol) to represent an unknown, then you have to be consistent - it must represent the same unknown throughout - and it is here that our reasoning falls apart. In our initial statement - that if our envelope contains X, the other envelope must contain either 2X or X/2 - we are using X to represent two different values - firstly (the 2X bit) the lesser of the two amounts on offer and then (X/2) the greater of the two. It becomes more obvious if we use real money - let's suppose that we know that one envelope contains £10 and the other one £20. If we have chosen the envelope with £10 in it (i.e. X = 10) then the other envelope must contain £20 (2X). It cannot contain X/2 (£5). Equally if our envelope contains £20, the other must contain £10 (X/2). It cannot contain 2X (£40). So our initial statement is false, and everything which flows from it is equally false. If X represents the smaller amount (£10 in our example) then clearly whichever envelope we choose, the other envelope must contain either 2X or X and as that goes for either envelope, there is nothing to be gained by swapping.
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